The aim of the presentation is to provide a framework of future climate change scenarios of temperature and precipitation, from global to local scale.
In order to attain this objective, firstly, a brief introduction in the climate system, climate variability and climate change concepts will be done. The presentation will be followed by the description of the main tools applied by the scientific community in order to construct climate change projections, namely: Global Climate Models, Dynamical and Statistical Models.
Finally, the future projections of mean and extreme temperature and precipitation, for different emission scenarios and time periods will be presented.
Outline:
- Modelling climate and climate change
– 1.1 The climate system, climate variability and climate change
– 1.2 Tools used to study the climate from global to local scale
- Global Climate Models (GCMs)
- Regional Climate Models (RCMs)
- Statistical downscaling technique (SDs)
– 1.3 Reliability of climate models
- Future climate changes: statistics from global to regional area
– 2.1 Uncertainties of climate models
– 2.2 Climate change scenarios of air temperature
– 2.3 Climate change scenarios of precipitation
3. Conclusions